President Biden’s approval rating below 40% makes us wonder if he will pursue greater bipartisanship if the Democrats lose the mid term elections. Of course, this decision could have ramifications for the 2024 Presidential election.
Issues and Non-Issues – 1Q 2022 Outlook
Despite lingering concerns and anxiety regarding the Delta and Omicron variants of COVID-19, a multitude of supply disruptions and meaningfully rising inflationary pressures, the...
Bidenomics and Building Back Better
The following is an excerpt from a longer article published by Victor Canto, PhD, who serves as an economic consultant to TPCM. To inquire about the full article please visit...
Conviction – 4Q 2021 Outlook
Investors love passion and conviction. “I saw an analyst on CNBC the other day. She loves Tesla. She’s all in.” “My hedge fund manager is so confident on Bitcoin, he’s taken a 25%...
Key Supply Chain Improvements Should Arrive Shortly
We’d like to thank our summer analyst interns, Max Persico, John Schreiber and John Hufnagel for all their help this summer and putting this important research piece together for...
Climbing that Wall of Worry – 3Q 2021 Outlook
As often is the case, the equity market overcame a litany of worries this past quarter as many of the more macroeconomic and policy-oriented concerns quickly dissipated and...
Inflation – Where Art Thou?
In response to the COVID-19 Pandemic, the Fed dusted off its Financial Crisis playbook. Looking at the inflation rate, the real economy, and the financial markets performance since...
Internal Dynamics – 2Q 2021 Outlook
A casual observer of economics and markets could look at the first quarter of 2021 and remark that it was a very solid period with the S&P 500 rising 6% as the vaccines for...
And it Begins Again…..1Q 2021 Outlook
It goes without saying that 2020 was a historic year. The COVID-19 crisis which increasingly swept the world, had a dramatic impact across all aspects of society and life including...
U.S. Small Cap Outlook – Good Things in Small Packages in 2021?
It ‘tis the season to be jolly goes the old holiday carol and that has certainly been the case for small cap investors of late. After plunging deeper and then lagging their large...
The Election is Over and the Stock Market Loves It
Although the presidential election results are not entirely conclusive, the American people have spoken and more so than anything else the election has proven that United States...
Rotation, Anyone? 4Q 2020 Outlook
A very successful competitor asset manager in Boston famously produces a periodic report where they forecast expected real returns of various asset classes for the subsequent seven...
Investment Implications of a Post-Covid Economy
We reiterate our belief from our last blog that the Covid-19 pandemic is on the wane in the U.S. based on the decline in national and state Covid-19 hospitalization figures that we...
Covid-19 Recovery Stocks Still Attractive, Despite What You Might Hear…
Okay, we all need to take a very deep breath. No doubt you have heard the news that Covid-19 cases have increased over the past week, both domestically and internationally. Given...
Covid-19 – “Second Wave” Dynamics
We all may be tired of hearing about Covid-19 but it remains important to monitor as we believe it continues to drive the direction of incremental dollars in the marketplace,...
















Karol Krucinski, CFA is a Director of Portfolio Management at Timber Point Capital Management and Fortis Capital Advisors where he co-manages investment strategy implementation and portfolio construction while leading the firm’s Direct Indexing platform and trading oversight. His client work encompasses developing customized portfolio solutions and analysis of complex investment scenarios including concentrated positions and tax-sensitive transitions. Karol’s experience spans quantitative analysis, portfolio optimization and risk management across diverse asset classes.
Kirsten Stainer has extensive experience managing institutional and private investor relationships while structuring and leading capital formation efforts across both debt and equity strategies. In addition to her experience in real estate, Kirsten has led Series A and B raises at Founders Fund and Battery Ventures backed startups and scaled enterprise revenue streams with teams at JPMorgan Chase and Clearwater Analytics.
Manish Shah, J.D. has decades of experience investing across the capital stack and various alternative investment classes. He has served as a principal and manager of numerous real estate investments, including control equity, preferred equity, mezzanine and senior debt investments. His prior experience includes the turnaround of a publicly traded company (acquired NYSE: EMR) where he was responsible for business and real estate acquisitions and divestitures.