* The inflation bubble bursts…for good..
* Phillips Curve advocates confused…
* Payroll adds head back to the future…
* Wage gains are slowing…
The Timber Log – 11/1/23
* The consumer is ok…but feeling meh…
* Yields on the rise…too far, too fast?
* Med device stocks go on a diet…
* Mike Johnson takes the House reins…
The Timber Log – 9/19/23
* Fed meeting to be uneventful…
* As PCE should continue to fall
* Energy shares in the sun…
* OPEC+ holds the key
The Timber Log – 8/23/23
* Bond yields head higher…
* Corporate refinancing risk is low…
* Can’t say the same for Treasury debt…
* Atlanta Fed GDPNow…a closer look…
The Timber Log – 7/28/23
* Fed keeps the big stick at hand…
* Small caps seem poised…again
* Margins need to hang in for eps gains…
* Bidens election hopes resting with the Fed…
The Timber Log – 6/30/23
* Large Cap Tech rules in 1H23…
* High yield is attractive…
* Shadow bankers continue to gain share
* The Fed lost touch with the Volcker rule…
The Timber Log – 5/26/23
* SPX 500 in tight trading channel…
* Retail results are erratic…XRT vs. XLY
* Debt limit deal thoughts from Victor
* Japan emerging after two lost decades…?
The Timber Log – 5/5/23
* Powell does it again…10 and counting…
* Regional banks under pressure…
* JPM’s Dimon on the bank crisis
* Small caps can’t catch a break
The Timber Log – 4/18/23
* Fed balance sheet composition…
* CPI report encouraging…
* What we look for from earnings season…
* Dollar decline – is it structural?
The Timber Log – 3/6/23
* February puts a dent in the doves…
* Global LNG markets will remain tight
* The housing market won’t crash this time…
The Timber Log – 2/17/23
* Recession fears abound…
* Market levitates to start 2023…
* Fed should be more data dependent
The Timber Log – 2/1/23
* Here comes the Fed again…
* January rebound much needed…
* The debt ceiling boogey-man…
* Natural gas…the rise and fall…
The Timber Log – 1/17/23
* Is a soft landing realistic?
* Small caps rebound after poor year…
* Market rotation as inflation recedes
* International stocks – time to shine?
The Timber Log – 12/29/22
* The Fed focus in 2023…
* 60/40 strategy…tough year
* ROW bankers play catch up
* Recession Watch – watch SCI’s…
The Timber Log – 12/8/22
* Is the consumer “alive and well”?
* What is “SLOOS”? We take a look…
* Recession Watch…a history of
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Karol Krucinski, CFA is a Director of Portfolio Management at Timber Point Capital Management and Fortis Capital Advisors where he co-manages investment strategy implementation and portfolio construction while leading the firm’s Direct Indexing platform and trading oversight. His client work encompasses developing customized portfolio solutions and analysis of complex investment scenarios including concentrated positions and tax-sensitive transitions. Karol’s experience spans quantitative analysis, portfolio optimization and risk management across diverse asset classes.
Kirsten Stainer has extensive experience managing institutional and private investor relationships while structuring and leading capital formation efforts across both debt and equity strategies. In addition to her experience in real estate, Kirsten has led Series A and B raises at Founders Fund and Battery Ventures backed startups and scaled enterprise revenue streams with teams at JPMorgan Chase and Clearwater Analytics.
Manish Shah, J.D. has decades of experience investing across the capital stack and various alternative investment classes. He has served as a principal and manager of numerous real estate investments, including control equity, preferred equity, mezzanine and senior debt investments. His prior experience includes the turnaround of a publicly traded company (acquired NYSE: EMR) where he was responsible for business and real estate acquisitions and divestitures.